Time for respect, not blame, at the NHS

In light of Don Berwick's recent advisory report for the National Health Service, this commentary by the Health Minister and his initiative send the wrong message. The Times of London reports:

Hospitals are to be forced to publish how much they pay for supplies under plans to end “scandalous” overpayments for basic goods. 

Dan Poulter, the Health Minister, said, "We must end the scandalous situation where one hospital spends hundreds of thousands more than another hospital just down the road on something as simple as rubber glove or syringes, simply because they haven't the right systems in place to ensure value for money.

Those of us who have studied procurement in hospitals know that there is nothing "simple" about this problem.

While the unit cost of goods purchased is always worthy of attention, it is actually the stocking of excess supplies that is likely to be more wasteful.  I'd wager that, if you visit the stores room in any NHS hospital (or for that matter, any US hospital), you would find an inventory that is far from the amount needed.  Why is that?

In most hospitals, there is a lonely person who has to decide when to purchase the next shipment of gauze pads, or bandages, or whatever.  He makes a personal judgment of this issue based on the speed with which those boxes leave his storeroom to head upstairs to the wards.  He has no formal training in inventory management and often has no data system to support him in his decision-making.  Accordingly, he employs informal rules of thumb for this ordering.  His incentive is to "never run out," and so he will always order more than the hospital actually needs.  He often works alone, and so when he goes on holiday, he orders still more extra supplies so that things will be all right in his absence.

But, it's worse than that, because the stockers on each ward and unit upstairs have exactly the same incentive.  Although there is a recommended par value of goods in each local supply closet and cabinet, his incentive, too, is to "never run out," and so he will always collect more supplies than are necessary from the central stores. His job is complicated by the fact that the local closets and cabinets are often crowded and poorly designed, so the actual inventory on each floor is unclear.

Those of use who teach Lean process improvement techniques know that one of the most likely places to find opportunities for savings is in this sector of a hospital's operations.  It is not uncommon to find that hospitals are over-purchasing by 10, 15, or even 20%. Then, because medical goods have expiration dates, a portion of the inventory is actually thrown out.

How does this all relate to Don's report?  While his report focused on safety, the conclusions actually are generalizable:

NHS staff are not to blame – in the vast majority of cases it is the systems, procedures, conditions, environment and constraints they face that lead to . . . problems.

Improvement requires a system of support: the NHS needs a considered, resourced and driven agenda of capability-building in order to deliver continuous improvement.

Recognise with clarity and courage the need for wide systemic change. 

Abandon blame as a tool and trust the goodwill and good intentions of the staff. 

Give the people of the NHS career-long help to learn, master and apply modern methods for quality control, quality improvement and quality planning.

Make sure pride and joy in work, not fear, infuse the NHS.


The language used by the minister and the one-size-fits-all type of solution proposed for this particular area exemplify an approach in opposition to the one advocated by Don and his advisory body. It does not consider the root causes of the problem or systemic solutions.  Equally important, the language used is not respectful nor supportive of the hard-working staff in the hospitals.

Walczak creates chances for change

Buried away in his campaign website is an extraordinarily thoughtful idea by Boston mayoral candidate Bill Walczak.  It represents the kind of thinking that can occur at the local level by people willing to think creatively and across disciplines.  This one is about education and health care.  Here's the quote:

Early education works best when parents are prepared and supported in their role as their child’s first teacher, and this needs to start with prenatal care. . . . The challenges that confront young people in many of our neighborhoods in Boston include violence, chronic poverty, poor housing, and unhealthy environments among others. These difficulties spill over into their social and educational experiences. The term applied to these phenomena is “toxic stress.” Strong evidence points to the physical and emotional toll that toxic stress places on children, including compromised brains and bodies.

I strongly believe that connecting our schools and health care providers will help to reshape some of these experiences. Our health care institutions need to become more proactive in integrating the realities of childhood poverty into their interventions. At the Codman Square Health Center, we replicated an approach developed by the Centering Healthcare Institute that includes group visits for expectant parents. This model connects parents to each other, their pediatrician/family physician, and the resources they need to support their children as they grow. One of the results was increased infant birth-weight, an important indicator of a child’s ability to develop, learn and thrive. Connecting this model to early childhood education and expanding the program to infants and toddlers will result in better care for children as they grow. This approach requires no major expense; just a reallocation of how already approved prenatal visits are used. As Mayor I will work with community health centers and other prenatal programs to expand group pre-natal and pediatric visits to include early childhood educators, supporting parents as first and primary teachers. This will build community capacity by linking families with each other and institutions at the early stages of parenthood.

This is good stuff.  Actually, very good stuff.  It's not surprising that Bill, who founded the Codman Square Health Center and served as its CEO for 32 years, would understand the interplay of education and health care.  But he takes that understanding and uses it to come up with a conceptual design for an initiative that would build a stronger sense of community and would not bust budgets.

I don't get to vote in Boston, but I find myself wishing I could. I know who would get my vote.

Cricket vs. Football (Soccer): The obesity wars

Under this headline:

Fitness and the beautiful game -- and football

A letter in The Times of London on August 5:

Sir, I do not agree that football is better than cricket in answering problems of inactivity and obesity (letter, Aug 3). Neither sport will cure obesity, but cricket demands far more physical and mental activity than football, at least where school and casual play are concerned. Indeed, the stamina required by cricketers far exceeds that of the footballer. The batsman's concentration, while defending the stumps and trying to score, is probably unequalled in any sport.  And each fielder must be ready to respond within a fraction of a second. As to the bowler, his every delivery will be watched and judged by one and all. Football is easier to stage and less expensive, but let us not forget the significance of the phrase, "That's not cricket," and despite misgivings about some umpiring, as a lesson for pupils in later life, there can be no better. And anyone who thinks cricket is the preserve of a certain class owing to a lack of equipment and facilities, ought to visit India where mile after mile of land plays host to the game, often with improvised implements, but never lacking in enthusiasm.
JACK LYNES
Pinner, Middx

Whaddayamean? This isn't hard exercise?

WWKS?

What would Dr. Koop say? According to Al Lewis and Vik Khanna, he would not be pleased that people have used his name for an award for a fraudulently described wellness program in Nebraska.

A lesson from Harvard

There are a lot of really bright folks at Harvard, including some of the world's experts in the health care field. How meaningful, then, when the university falls for the marketing plans of health insurance companies and finds itself under a rock.

The New York Times lays out the story:

It [Harvard] dropped its standard deal — a subsidy that rose in line with the price of the insurance policy — and switched some 10,000 workers on its payroll to a fixed subsidy that encouraged them to shop around for care. Families of workers who chose the Preferred Provider Organization offered by Blue Cross/Blue Shield — the most comprehensive plan, with lots of doctors and hospitals on its network — faced a $500-a-year jump in their out-of-pocket spending on health care.

Younger and healthier workers canceled their P.P.O. plans, enrolling in cheaper H.M.O. options or dropping Harvard insurance altogether. Left with a sicker patient base, the P.P.O. raised its premiums further, which prompted the next layer of relatively healthy customers to leave. 

Harvard has not been alone in facing this predicament.  I laid out the commercial logic of this pricing scheme a few months ago:

Notwithstanding public pronouncements to the contrary, it is evident that insurers have persuaded plan fiduciaries (i.e, companies who offer health insurance to their employees) to adopt plan designs that are priced to diverge from the rates that would be based on actuarial calculations.  Plan designs for high-cost subscribers are subsidized by plan designs for low-cost subscribers.  I believe the insurers do this for strategic reasons, to migrate customers to those plans that create the most income for the insurers.  The plans that create the most income for insurers are the ones that generate growth in claims:  Insurers want larger groups to insure and they want to insure unhealthy populations.  After all, claim adjudication is the major source of income for the insurance companies.

The purpose of the Times article is to explore whether a similar phenomenon might occur under Obamacare or whether there will be enough competition among insurers to keep a lid on "the death spiral of adverse selection" and rate increases. Of course, that national issue is more complicated than the one facing a single employer.  The problem, as I have noted, is the growing lack of competition on the supplier side, a trend that is encouraged by the administration's desire for Accountable Care Organizations that will be large enough to bear a larger portion of the actuarial risk of population groups.  Indeed, that consolidation can more than offset the hoped-for competition in the insurance market.  From the Times:

“The more health plans compete for insured in a local health market, the more fragmented the payment side of the market will be vis-à-vis the ever more consolidated supply side,” Uwe Reinhardt of Princeton, a contributor to The Times’s Economix blog, wrote me in an e-mail. “And the higher prices for health care will be.”

We need to accept the fact that there is really very little in the national health care legislation that is likely to control the ascent of costs. We have the country's underlying demographic trends and other factors like the medical arm's race; requirements on insurers for guaranteed issue and expanded coverage; and greater concentration in the provider market.  The drafters of the legislation knew this to be the case and assumed that the higher costs would be met by new taxes during future administrations.  The logic and need for universal coverage of the population is incontrovertible, and it needs to proceed. But as I said many, many months ago, when the President promised the nation access, choice, and lower costs, he was misleading us.  You get two out of three, not all three.